📐 Formüller ve Teknik Bilgiler

NASA Space Apps Challenge 2025 - Bilimsel Metodoloji

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🔋 Kinetic Energy Calculation

The kinetic energy of an asteroid is calculated using the classical physics formula:

Ek = ½ × m × v²
Where:
  • Ek = Kinetic Energy (Joules)
  • m = Mass of asteroid (kg)
  • v = Impact velocity (m/s)

Mass Calculation:

m = ρ × V = ρ × (4/3 × π × r³)
  • ρ = Density (kg/m³) - Typical: 3000 kg/m³ for stony asteroids
  • V = Volume (m³)
  • r = Radius = Diameter / 2

TNT Equivalent:

TNT (Megatons) = Ek / (4.184 × 10¹⁵)
💡 Example:
A 150m diameter asteroid at 18 km/s:
  • Mass: ~5.3 billion kg
  • Energy: ~860 Petajoules ≈ 205 Megatons TNT

🕳️ Crater Diameter Calculation

Based on Collins et al. (2005) scaling laws:

Dcrater = C × Dasteroid × (v/v0)α × sin(θ)β
Where:
  • Dcrater = Crater diameter (m)
  • Dasteroid = Asteroid diameter (m)
  • v = Impact velocity (m/s)
  • v0 = Reference velocity = 12,000 m/s
  • θ = Impact angle (degrees from horizontal)
  • C = Scaling constant ≈ 13
  • α = Velocity exponent ≈ 0.44
  • β = Angle exponent ≈ 0.33

Crater Depth:

Depth = Dcrater / 5

Complex craters typically have a depth-to-diameter ratio of ~1:5

🌊 Seismic Effect (Earthquake Magnitude)

Richter Scale:

ML = (log₁₀(E) - 4.8) / 1.5
Where:
  • ML = Richter Magnitude
  • E = Seismic energy (Joules)

Moment Magnitude Scale:

Mw = (2/3) × log₁₀(M0) - 10.7
  • Mw = Moment Magnitude
  • M0 = Seismic moment (N·m)

Felt Distance:

Distance = 10(0.5 × M + 1)

Approximate distance where seismic waves can be felt (km)

🌡️ Atmospheric Entry Physics

Deceleration (Drag Force):

dv/dt = -(ρair × v² × CD × A) / (2 × m)
  • ρair = Air density (exponential with altitude)
  • CD = Drag coefficient ≈ 0.5-1.0
  • A = Cross-sectional area

Ablation (Mass Loss):

dm/dt = -(CH × ρair × v³ × A) / (2 × Q)
  • CH = Heat transfer coefficient ≈ 0.1
  • Q = Heat of ablation (8 MJ/kg for stone)

Luminosity (Brightness):

L = τ × (dE/dt) = τ × (½ × m × v × |dv/dt|)
  • τ = Luminous efficiency ≈ 0.1-0.5%
  • dE/dt = Rate of kinetic energy loss

💥 Damage Zones (Rumpf Methodology)

Based on Rumpf et al. (2017) - 7 distinct hazard types:

1️⃣ Overpressure

ΔP = 3.14 × 10⁵ × (E/R³)2/3

Lethal: >15 psi (~103 kPa)

2️⃣ Wind Blast

vwind = f(ΔP, EF-scale)

Enhanced Fujita Scale (EF0-EF5)

3️⃣ Thermal Radiation

Q = E × η / (4π × R²)

2nd degree burns: >5 kJ/cm²

4️⃣ Seismic Shaking

PGA = f(E, R, Mw)

Peak Ground Acceleration

5️⃣ Ejecta Deposition

Tejecta = f(R, Dcrater)

Roof collapse: >200 kg/m²

6️⃣ Cratering

Rcrater = Dcrater / 2

100% lethality within crater

7️⃣ Tsunami

Hwave = f(E, depth, R)

Ocean impacts only

📚 Scientific References

🔌 Data Sources & APIs

NASA NeoWs API

Near-Earth Object Web Service - Real asteroid data

api.nasa.gov/neo/rest/v1

GeoNames

Population density and geographic data

geonames.org

USGS

Topographic maps and terrain data

usgs.gov